Continued Optimism for U.S. with Hiring Expectations Remaining Stable at the Start of 2016, According to the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Of the nearly 59,000 employers interviewed in 42 countries and territories across the globe, employers anticipate an increase in staffing levels in 39 countries and territories, compared with 36 of 42 in Q4 2015. Hiring prospects strengthen in 23 of 42 countries and territories when compared with Q4, but decline in 13. Compared with last year at this time, outlooks improve in 19 countries and territories, weaken in 18 and are unchanged in five.
U.S. Results Summary
Of the more than 11,000 U.S. employers surveyed, 20 percent anticipate increasing staff levels in Quarter 1 2016. This is a 1 percent drop from Quarter 4 2015, but a small gain from Quarter 1 2015 when the estimated increase in hiring was 19 percent. Six percent of employers expect workforce reductions, and 72 percent expect no change in hiring plans. The final 2 percent of employers are undecided about their hiring intentions, resulting in a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of +17%.
Quarter |
Increase Staff Levels |
Decrease Staff Levels |
Maintain Staff Levels |
Don't Know |
Net Employment Outlook (deseasonalized) |
Q1 2016 (current) |
20% |
6% |
72% |
2% |
17% |
Q4 2015 (previous quarter) |
21% |
6% |
71% |
2% |
18% |
Q1 2015 (one year ago) |
19% |
6% |
73% |
2% |
16% |
"We've seen strong jobs growth in the U.S. throughout 2015, along with declining unemployment and increasing wages, which brings a continued optimism for the start of 2016," said Jonas Prising,
U.S. Hiring Plans by Regions, Industry Sectors and Metro Areas/States
Quarter over quarter, research shows U.S. employers in all four regions expect a relatively stable hiring pace. Employers in the Northeast anticipate a slight improvement in hiring compared to Quarter 1 2015, while employers in the Midwest, South and West are planning for a stable hiring pace over last year.
Employers have a positive Outlook in all 13 industry sectors included in the survey, with Leisure & Hospitality (+30%), Transportation & Utilities (+23%) Wholesale & Retail Trade (+22%) and Professional & Business Services (+18%) employers reporting the strongest hiring intentions.
Among the 50 states, employers in
Among employers in the 100 largest metropolitan statistical areas, the strongest job prospects are expected in:
Cape Coral, Fla. Washington, D.C. Honolulu Dallas Grand Rapids, Mich. Provo -Orem, Utah
The weakest outlooks are projected in:
Hartford, Conn. Chicago Kansas City, Mo. Worcester, Mass. Tulsa, Okla.
Global Results Summary
- First-quarter hiring confidence is strongest in
India ,Taiwan ,Japan ,Turkey andthe United States . - The weakest - and only negative - forecasts are reported in
Brazil ,Finland andFrance . China's slowing economy and decreased demand for raw materials are impacting labor markets beyondAsia Pacific .- Forecasts for the mining and extraction sector are down across the globe, including in
Colombia ,Peru andSouth Africa where sector forecasts are the least optimistic yet reported. - Many
ManpowerGroup operations corroborate the recentTalent Shortage Survey and report that employers continue to be frustrated by their inability to source specific talents—including IT, engineering and many skilled trades.
"Economic growth expectations have come down in some global markets, but in many cases are consistent with hiring outlooks last year," said Prising. "The strength of the global recovery will continue to be uneven, particularly for some countries in
Complete results for the
The next
*The Net Employment Outlook is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers expecting a decrease in hiring activity.
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