U.S. Hiring in the Third Quarter Among Most Optimistic Globally According to Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Only employers in
U.S. Results Summary
Of the more than 11,000 U.S. employers surveyed, 24 percent anticipate increasing staff levels in Quarter 3 2015, the highest percentage of employers adding staff since Quarter 3 2008. Four percent of employers expect workforce reductions, and 70 percent expect no change in hiring plans. The final 2 percent of employers are undecided about their hiring intentions, resulting in a Net Employment Outlook of +20%. When seasonally adjusted, the Net Employment Outlook becomes +16%.
Quarter |
Increase Staff Levels |
Decrease Staff Levels |
Maintain Staff Levels |
Don't Know |
Net Employment Outlook (deseasonalized) |
Q3 2015 (current) |
24% |
4% |
70% |
2% |
16% |
Q2 2015 (previous quarter) |
22% |
4% |
72% |
2% |
16% |
Q3 2014 (one year ago) |
22% |
4% |
71% |
3% |
14% |
"U.S. employers have reported the same steady hiring plans throughout 2015, and the third-quarter results are no exception," said
U.S. Hiring Plans by Regions, Industry Sectors and Metro Areas/States
Third-quarter research shows U.S. employers' quarter-over-quarter hiring intentions improve slightly in the South and remain unchanged in the Northeast, Midwest and West. Year-over-year, employers in the West are planning for a moderate increase in the hiring pace. Employers in the Northeast, Midwest and South are slightly more confident about staff additions.
Employers have a positive Outlook in 12 of 13 industry sectors included in the survey, with Leisure & Hospitality (28%), Wholesale & Retail Trade (23%), Transportation & Utilities (18%) and Professional & Business Services (18%) employers reporting the strongest hiring intentions. Only Mining employers expect job losses to outpace gains, as indicated by the -5% Net Employment Outlook.
Among the 50 states, employers in
Among employers in the 100 largest metropolitan statistical areas, the strongest job prospects are expected in:
Rochester, N.Y. Nashville, Tenn. Provo, Utah San Jose, Calif. Columbia, S.C. Seattle
The weakest Outlooks are projected in:
Tucson, Ariz. Augusta, Ga. Youngstown, Ohio Tulsa, Okla. Bakersfield, Calif. New Orleans
Global Results Summary
- Third-quarter forecasts are mostly positive with employers in 40 of 42 countries and territories expecting to add to their workforces by varying margins over the next three months.
- The most optimistic Net Employment Outlooks are reported in
Taiwan ,India ,Japan ,Hong Kong andthe United States , while the weakest hiring plans are reported inItaly ,Brazil ,Austria ,Spain andSwitzerland . The only negative forecasts are reported inItaly andBrazil . - Hiring prospects strengthen in 11 of 42 countries and territories when compared with Q2, but decline in 22. Outlooks improve in 15 countries and territories year-over-year but weaken in 23.
"Employers are seeing few signs of accelerating momentum in the global economy, but, while caution remains widespread, the good news is most are recognizing the need to tentatively add to their workforces to meet demand rather than being stuck in wait-and-see mode. This is contributing to a generally positive hiring outlook," added Prising.
Complete results for the
The next
*The Net Employment Outlook is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers expecting a decrease in hiring activity.
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