Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Shows Positive Trend in U.S. Hiring Plans for Quarter 3 2014, Strongest Since 2008
Globally, staffing levels are expected to increase in 37 of 42 countries and territories surveyed, compared with 38 of 42 in the previous quarter. More than 65,000 employers were interviewed worldwide, with the most optimistic Net Employment Outlooks reported in
U.S. Results Summary
Of the more than 18,000 U.S. employers surveyed, 22 percent anticipate an increase in staff levels in their Quarter 3 2014 hiring plans, while anticipated staff reductions remain among the lowest in survey history at 4 percent. Seventy-one percent of employers expect no change in their hiring plans. The final 3 percent of employers are undecided about their hiring intentions, resulting in a Net Employment Outlook of +18%. When seasonally adjusted, the Net Employment Outlook becomes +14%.
Incremental Growth in Hiring Levels Continues in U.S. Among 18,000 Surveyed Employers
Quarter |
Increase |
Decrease |
Maintain |
Don't |
Net Employment (deseasonalized) |
Q3 2014 (current) |
22% |
4% |
71% |
3% |
14% |
Q2 2014 (previous quarter) |
19% |
4% |
73% |
4% |
13% |
Q3 2013 (one year ago) |
22% |
6% |
70% |
2% |
12% |
"We're seeing a measured level of improvement across all labor segments that has been building over the last five years," said
U.S. Hiring Plans by Regions, Industry Sectors and States/Metro Areas
The third quarter research shows that U.S. employers expect hiring intentions to remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter across all regions, and slightly increase compared to one year ago at this time. Employers have a positive Outlook in all 13 industry sectors included in the survey, with Mining, Wholesale & Retail Trade and Leisure & Hospitality employers reporting the strongest hiring intentions.
Among the 50 states, employers in
Among employers in the 100 largest metropolitan statistical areas, the strongest job prospects are expected in:
Grand Rapids, Mich. Charleston, S.C. Dallas Minneapolis Raleigh, N.C. Rochester, N.Y. Boise, Idaho
The weakest Outlooks are projected in:
Cape Coral, Fla. Miami, Fla. Akron, Ohio Sacramento, Calif. St. Louis Spokane, Wash. New York Albuquerque, N.M.
Global Results Summary
- During the July-September timeframe, staffing levels are expected to increase in 37 of the 42 countries and territories surveyed. This compares with 38 of 42 in the previous quarter.
- The most optimistic Net Employment Outlooks are reported in
India ,Taiwan ,Turkey ,New Zealand and Singapore, while the weakest — and only negative — outlooks are reported inItaly ,Belgium ,France ,Netherlands and theCzech Republic . - Employers in all 10 countries in the
Americas expect to grow payrolls in the upcoming quarter, with the Net Employment Outlook improving in three countries and declining in seven. Year-over-year, hiring intentions are stronger in four countries and weaker in four. Employers inPeru report the most optimistic hiring plans in the region. - Payrolls are expected to increase in all eight
Asia Pacific countries and territories, with stronger Net Employment Outlooks reported in two and softer hiring prospects in five. The most optimistic hiring intentions are reported inIndia , while the weakest are reported inAustralia for the eighth consecutive quarter. - Employers in 19 of 24 Europe,
Middle East andAfrica (EMEA) countries forecast job gains during the next three months, while payrolls are expected to decline in four countries. Hiring prospects improve in six EMEA countries quarter-over-quarter, but decrease in 12. As in the previous quarter, Turkish employers report the most optimistic hiring plans in the region, while for the fifth consecutive quarter; the weakest forecast is reported by employers inItaly .
"Opportunities for job seekers across global labor markets are expected to remain mostly positive with few signs that hiring intentions are decisively trending in one direction or another," added Prising. "There are, however, encouraging signs in
Complete results for the
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*The Net Employment Outlook is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers expecting a decrease in hiring activity.
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