Hiring Intentions Vary Significantly Around the World with Softer Employment Outlooks Predicted in Many Markets for Q4
In the
"Hiring plans for the next three months vary significantly globally with robust Outlooks reported in many large markets while the uncertainty of Brexit and the impacts of tariffs contribute to evidence of softer hiring intentions elsewhere," said
View complete Q4 2019 survey results: www.manpowergroup.com/meos
Global Hiring Plans by Region
EMEA: The strongest Q4 Outlooks are reported in
- Employers in all EMEA countries report positive Q4 Outlooks apart from
Spain which is flat (0%). - Employers in
France report a hiring Outlook of +6% up year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter driven by improvements in many sectors including Construction where employers report an Outlook of +15%, the most upbeat forecast for the sector since the survey began 16 years ago. - In
Germany employers report a stable employment Outlook of +6% up one percentage point quarter-over-quarter yet down year-over-year. Hiring Outlooks in Manufacturing decline by 2 percentage points quarter-over-quarter and an annual decline of -1%. - In the
UK employers report improved intentions year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter with an Outlook of +5%. TheUK is the only major EMEA economy to predict a year-over-year hiring increase across the Financial & Business Services sector, despite suggestions of financial services firms contemplating relocation after Brexit.
- U.S. employers (+20%) report the region's most confident forecasts for Q4. The strongest U.S. sector Outlooks are reported in the Leisure & Hospitality (+27%), Professional & Business Services (+24%) and Wholesale Trade & Retail Trade (+23%) sectors. All regions reported quarter-over-quarter decreases, while only the Midwest reported a year-over-year increase (+2%).
Argentina andCosta Rica employers report the region's weakest hiring intentions for Q4, at +3% each.- Employers in
Mexico report positive hiring intentions of +8% for Q4. Outlooks declined year-over-year in six out of seven sectors inMexico . The biggest decline was reported by Manufacturing and Mining & Extraction employers – a sector exposed to recently imposed U.S. tariffs.
- Employers in
Japan report the region's most confident hiring intentions (+26%), at a time when the tight labor market continues to boost hiring demand. - Employers in
India report a thirteen-percentage-point increase quarter-over-quarter in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector and an eighteen percentage-point rise for the Public Admin & Education sector, indicative of the strengthening economy and expanding middle class. China's hiring Outlook of +4% marked a four-percentage-point decline on Q3 and a three-percentage-point decline year-over year. Forecasts were positive but down quarter-over-quarter across all industries, most notably in Finance, Insurance & Real Estate where employers reported a seven-percentage-point fall on the previous quarter.
To view complete results for the
*The Net Employment Outlook is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers expecting a decrease in hiring activity.
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SOURCE
Danielle Switalski, +1 (414) 248-7431, danielle.switalski@manpowergroup.com or Emma Kirby, +1 (414) 544-1489, Emma.kirby@manpowergroup.com